Pennsylvania 12th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Pennsylvania 12th — House dem primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model makes Summer Lee the heavy favorite at 96%, with William Parker at 4%. Summer Lee is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Summer Lee (incumbent) — 96%
- William Parker — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.