Pennsylvania 11th — House 2026 General Election

The Pennsylvania 11th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Lloyd Smucker the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Nancy Mannion at 0%. Lloyd Smucker is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) — 100%
  2. Nancy Mannion — 0%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model