Pennsylvania 10th — House 2026 General Election

The Pennsylvania 10th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat Janelle Stelson edges Republican Scott Perry, 54% to 46%. Janelle Stelson leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements and incumbent Scott Perry trails in the forecast. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Janelle Stelson — 54%
  2. Scott Perry (incumbent) — 46%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.

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