Pennsylvania 10th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Pennsylvania 10th — House dem primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model makes Janelle Stelson the heavy favorite at 94%, with Justin Douglas at 6%. Janelle Stelson leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Janelle Stelson — 94%
- Justin Douglas — 6%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.