Pennsylvania 5th — House 2026 General Election
The Pennsylvania 5th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Nicholas Manganaro at 0%. Mary Gay Scanlon is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent) — 100%
- Nicholas Manganaro — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.