Pennsylvania 4th — House 2026 General Election
The Pennsylvania 4th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Madeleine Dean the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Aurora Stuski at 0%. Madeleine Dean is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Madeleine Dean (incumbent) — 100%
- Aurora Stuski — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.