Pennsylvania 3rd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Pennsylvania 3rd — House dem primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model sees a close race: Sharif Street edges Ala Stanford, 37% to 32% in a 4-candidate field. Sharif Street leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Sharif Street — 37%
- Ala Stanford — 32%
- Chris Rabb — 30%
- Shaun Griffith — 1%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.