Pennsylvania 3rd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Pennsylvania 3rd — House dem primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model sees a close race: Chris Rabb edges Ala Stanford, 38% to 34% in a 4-candidate field. Chris Rabb leads the field in reported fundraising and Sharif Street has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Chris Rabb — 38%
- Ala Stanford — 34%
- Sharif Street — 27%
- Shaun Griffith — 1%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.