Pennsylvania 2nd — House 2026 General Election

The Pennsylvania 2nd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Brendan Boyle the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Jessica Arriaga at 0%. Brendan Boyle is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Brendan Boyle (incumbent) — 100%
  2. Jessica Arriaga — 0%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model