Pennsylvania 1st — House 2026 General Election
The Pennsylvania 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Brian Fitzpatrick the clear favorite at 76%, ahead of Democrat Bob Harvie at 24%. Brian Fitzpatrick is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Bob Harvie has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) — 76%
- Bob Harvie — 24%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.