Pennsylvania 1st — House 2026 General Election
The Pennsylvania 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat Bob Harvie edges Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, 52% to 48%. Brian Fitzpatrick leads the field in reported fundraising, Bob Harvie has the most tracked endorsements, and incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick trails in the forecast. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Bob Harvie — 52%
- Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) — 48%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.