Pennsylvania 1st — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Pennsylvania 1st — House dem primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model makes Bob Harvie the heavy favorite at 96%, with Lucia Simonelli at 4%. Bob Harvie leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Bob Harvie — 96%
- Lucia Simonelli — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.