Pennsylvania Governor 2026 General Election
The Pennsylvania Governor general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Josh Shapiro the heavy favorite at 98%, with Republican Stacy Garrity at 2%. Josh Shapiro is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Stacy Garrity has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Josh Shapiro (incumbent) — 98%
- Stacy Garrity — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.