Oregon Senate 2026 Rep Primary

The Oregon Senate rep primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model makes David Brock Smith the clear favorite at 77%, ahead of Jo Rae Perkins at 4% in a 7-candidate field. David Brock Smith leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. David Brock Smith — 77%
2. Jo Rae Perkins — 4%
3. Brent Barker — 4%
4. Deborah C. Brown — 4%
5. David Burch — 4%
6. Russ McAlmond — 4%
7. Tim Skelton — 4%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model