Oregon 5th — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Oregon 5th — House rep primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model makes Patti Adair the heavy favorite at 96%, with Jonathan Lockwood at 4%. Patti Adair leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Patti Adair — 96%
  2. Jonathan Lockwood — 4%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model