Oregon 3rd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Oregon 3rd — House dem primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model makes Maxine Dexter the heavy favorite at 94%, with Jessica Salas at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Maxine Dexter is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Maxine Dexter (incumbent) — 94%
- Jessica Salas — 3%
- Andrew Castilleja — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.