Oregon 2nd — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Oregon 2nd — House dem primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model has Chris Beck narrowly ahead of Dawn Rasmussen, 47% to 24% in a 6-candidate field. Chris Beck leads the field in reported fundraising and Dawn Rasmussen has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Chris Beck — 47%
  2. Dawn Rasmussen — 24%
  3. Patty Snow — 8%
  4. Rebecca Mueller — 7%
  5. Mary Doyle — 7%
  6. Peter Quince — 7%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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