Oregon 2nd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Oregon 2nd — House dem primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model favors Dawn Rasmussen at 60%, ahead of Patty Snow at 9% in a 6-candidate field. Dawn Rasmussen leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Dawn Rasmussen — 60%
- Patty Snow — 9%
- Chris Beck — 9%
- Rebecca Mueller — 8%
- Mary Doyle — 7%
- Peter Quince — 7%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.