Oregon 1st — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Oregon 1st — House rep primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model makes Barbara Kahl the heavy favorite at 95%, with John Verbeek at 5%. Barbara Kahl leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Barbara Kahl — 95%
  2. John Verbeek — 5%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model