Oregon 1st — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Oregon 1st — House dem primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model makes Suzanne Bonamici the heavy favorite at 97%, with Jamil Ahmad at 3%. Suzanne Bonamici is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Suzanne Bonamici (incumbent) — 97%
- Jamil Ahmad — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.