Oregon Governor 2026 General Election
The Oregon Governor general election is on November 3, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat Tina Kotek edges Republican Christine Drazan, 51% to 49%. Tina Kotek is the incumbent and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Tina Kotek (incumbent) — 51%
- Christine Drazan — 49%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.