Oregon Governor 2026 Dem Primary
The Oregon Governor dem primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model has Tina Kotek narrowly ahead of Forest "Fora" Alexander, 39% to 7% in a 10-candidate field. Tina Kotek is the incumbent and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Tina Kotek (incumbent) — 39%
- Forest "Fora" Alexander — 7%
- James Atkinson IV — 7%
- Donnie Beckwith — 7%
- David Beem — 7%
- Brittany N. Jones — 7%
- Cal Kishawi — 7%
- Steve Laible — 7%
+2 more candidates
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.