Oklahoma Senate 2026 Rep Primary

The Oklahoma Senate rep primary is scheduled for June 16, 2026. The model makes Kevin Hern the clear favorite at 90%, ahead of Gary Ty England at 3% in a 5-candidate field. Kevin Hern leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Kevin Hern — 90%
2. Gary Ty England — 3%
3. Brian Ragain — 3%
4. Nick Hankins — 3%
5. William Sean Buckner — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model