Oklahoma Senate 2026 Dem Primary

The Oklahoma Senate dem primary is scheduled for June 16, 2026. The model makes Jim Priest the clear favorite at 87%, ahead of N'Kiyla "Jasmine" Thomas at 3% in a 5-candidate field. Jim Priest leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Jim Priest — 87%
  2. N'Kiyla "Jasmine" Thomas — 3%
  3. Troy Green — 3%
  4. Ervin Yen — 3%
  5. R.O. Joe Cassity Jr. — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model