Oklahoma 4th — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Oklahoma 4th — House rep primary is scheduled for June 16, 2026. The model makes Tom Cole the heavy favorite at 97%, with Marcie Everhart at 3%. Tom Cole is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Tom Cole (incumbent) — 97%
  2. Marcie Everhart — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

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