Oklahoma 1st — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Oklahoma 1st — House rep primary is scheduled for June 16, 2026. The model favors Mark Tedford at 61%, ahead of Jackson Lahmeyer at 5% in a 10-candidate field. Mark Tedford leads the field in reported fundraising and Jackson Lahmeyer has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Mark Tedford — 61%
  2. Jackson Lahmeyer — 5%
  3. Todd Woods — 5%
  4. Jed Cochran — 5%
  5. Kim David — 4%
  6. Courtney Gill — 4%
  7. Nathan Butterfield — 4%
  8. Nancy Dyson — 4%

+2 more candidates

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model