Oklahoma 1st — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Oklahoma 1st — House rep primary is scheduled for June 16, 2026. The model sees a close race: Mark Tedford edges Nathan Butterfield, 36% to 34% in a 10-candidate field. Mark Tedford leads the field in reported fundraising and Jackson Lahmeyer has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Mark Tedford — 36%
2. Nathan Butterfield — 34%
3. Jackson Lahmeyer — 8%
4. Jed Cochran — 3%
5. Kim David — 3%
6. Todd Woods — 3%
7. Courtney Gill — 3%
8. Nancy Dyson — 3%

+2 more candidates

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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