Ohio Senate 2026 Dem Primary
The Ohio Senate dem primary is scheduled for May 5, 2026. The model makes Sherrod Brown the heavy favorite at 97%, with Ron Kincaid at 3%. Sherrod Brown leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Sherrod Brown — 97%
- Ron Kincaid — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.