Ohio 15th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Ohio 15th — House rep primary is scheduled for May 5, 2026. The model makes Mike Carey the heavy favorite at 97%, with Samuel Ronan at 3%. Mike Carey is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mike Carey (incumbent) — 97%
- Samuel Ronan — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.