Ohio 15th — House 2026 General Election
The Ohio 15th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Republican Mike Carey at 74%, ahead of Democrat Adam Miller at 26%. Mike Carey is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Adam Miller has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mike Carey (incumbent) — 74%
- Adam Miller — 26%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.