Ohio 15th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Ohio 15th — House dem primary is scheduled for May 5, 2026. The model favors Adam Miller at 75%, ahead of Don Leonard at 25%. Adam Miller leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Adam Miller — 75%
  2. Don Leonard — 25%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

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