Ohio 14th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Ohio 14th — House dem primary is scheduled for May 5, 2026. The model favors Maria Jukic at 71%, ahead of Carl Setzer at 26% in a 3-candidate field. Maria Jukic leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Maria Jukic — 71%
- Carl Setzer — 26%
- Bill O'Neill — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.