Ohio 14th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Ohio 14th — House dem primary is scheduled for May 5, 2026. The model makes Maria Jukic the clear favorite at 89%, ahead of Carl Setzer at 8% in a 3-candidate field. Maria Jukic leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Maria Jukic — 89%
2. Carl Setzer — 8%
3. Bill O'Neill — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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