Ohio 11th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Ohio 11th — House dem primary is scheduled for May 5, 2026. The model makes Shontel Brown the heavy favorite at 94%, with Sean Freeman at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Shontel Brown is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Shontel Brown (incumbent) — 94%
- Sean Freeman — 3%
- Ardelia Holmes — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.