Ohio 9th — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Ohio 9th — House rep primary is scheduled for May 5, 2026. The model makes Derek Merrin the clear favorite at 83%, ahead of Josh Williams at 9% in a 5-candidate field. Derek Merrin leads the field in reported fundraising and Alea Nadeem has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Derek Merrin — 83%
2. Josh Williams — 9%
3. Alea Nadeem — 4%
4. Madison Sheahan — 3%
5. Anthony Campbell — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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