Ohio 9th — House 2026 General Election
The Ohio 9th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Republican Derek Merrin at 65%, ahead of Democrat Marcy Kaptur at 35%. Marcy Kaptur leads the field in reported fundraising, Derek Merrin has the most tracked endorsements, and incumbent Marcy Kaptur trails in the forecast. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Derek Merrin — 65%
- Marcy Kaptur (incumbent) — 35%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.