Ohio 9th — House 2026 General Election
The Ohio 9th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Marcy Kaptur the heavy favorite at 92%, with Republican Derek Merrin at 8%. Marcy Kaptur is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Derek Merrin has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Marcy Kaptur (incumbent) — 92%
- Derek Merrin — 8%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.