Ohio 5th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Ohio 5th — House dem primary is scheduled for May 5, 2026. The model makes Daniel Burket the clear favorite at 78%, ahead of Brian Shaver at 7% in a 4-candidate field. Daniel Burket leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Daniel Burket — 78%
- Brian Shaver — 7%
- Martin Heberling III — 7%
- Scott Tabor — 7%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.