Ohio 3rd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Ohio 3rd — House dem primary is scheduled for May 5, 2026. The model makes Joyce Beatty the heavy favorite at 97%, with Joe Gerard at 3%. Joyce Beatty is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Joyce Beatty (incumbent) — 97%
- Joe Gerard — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.