Ohio 1st — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Ohio 1st — House rep primary is scheduled for May 5, 2026. The model makes Eric Conroy the clear favorite at 84%, ahead of Holly Adams at 13% in a 3-candidate field. Eric Conroy leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Eric Conroy — 84%
- Holly Adams — 13%
- Rosemary Oglesby-Henry — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.