New York 25th — House 2026 General Election
The New York 25th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Joseph Morelle the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Virginia McIntyre at 0%. Joseph Morelle is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Joseph Morelle (incumbent) — 100%
- Virginia McIntyre — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.