New York 25th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The New York 25th — House dem primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model makes Joseph Morelle the heavy favorite at 94%, with Robin Wilt at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Joseph Morelle is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Joseph Morelle (incumbent) — 94%
- Robin Wilt — 3%
- Sherita Traywick — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.