New York 24th — House 2026 General Election
The New York 24th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Claudia Tenney the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Alissa Ellman at 0%. Claudia Tenney is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Claudia Tenney (incumbent) — 100%
- Alissa Ellman — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.