New York 22th — House 2026 General Election
The New York 22th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat John Mannion the clear favorite at 80%, ahead of Republican Kailee Buller at 20%. John Mannion is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- John Mannion (incumbent) — 80%
- Kailee Buller — 20%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.