New York 21th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The New York 21th — House rep primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model favors Anthony Constantino at 61%, ahead of Robert Smullen at 39%. Anthony Constantino leads the field in reported fundraising and Robert Smullen has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Anthony Constantino — 61%
- Robert Smullen — 39%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.