New York 21th — House 2026 General Election

The New York 21th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Anthony Constantino the clear favorite at 76%, ahead of Democrat Blake Gendebien at 24%. Anthony Constantino leads the field in reported fundraising and Blake Gendebien has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Anthony Constantino — 76%
  2. Blake Gendebien — 24%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

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