New York 19th — House 2026 General Election
The New York 19th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Democrat Josh Riley at 71%, ahead of Republican Peter Oberacker at 29%. Josh Riley is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Josh Riley (incumbent) — 71%
- Peter Oberacker — 29%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.