New York 18th — House 2026 General Election
The New York 18th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Pat Ryan the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Jackie Auringer at 0%. Pat Ryan is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Pat Ryan (incumbent) — 100%
- Jackie Auringer — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.