New York 18th — House 2026 General Election
The New York 18th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Pat Ryan the clear favorite at 75%, ahead of Republican Jackie Auringer at 25%. Pat Ryan is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Pat Ryan (incumbent) — 75%
- Jackie Auringer — 25%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.