New York 14th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The New York 14th — House rep primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model makes Tina Forte the clear favorite at 85%, ahead of Diamant Hysenaj at 9% in a 4-candidate field. Tina Forte leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Tina Forte — 85%
- Diamant Hysenaj — 9%
- Ariel Rivera-Diaz — 3%
- Aurelio Arcabascio — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.