New York 14th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The New York 14th — House rep primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model makes Diamant Hysenaj the heavy favorite at 94%, with Ariel Rivera-Diaz at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Diamant Hysenaj leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Diamant Hysenaj — 94%
- Ariel Rivera-Diaz — 3%
- Aurelio Arcabascio — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.