New York 14th — House 2026 General Election
The New York 14th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Tina Forte at 0%. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (incumbent) — 100%
- Tina Forte — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.