New York 12th — House 2026 General Election
The New York 12th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat George Conway the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Caroline Shinkle at 0%. George Conway leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- George Conway — 100%
- Caroline Shinkle — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.