New York 10th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The New York 10th — House dem primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model sees a close race: Dan Goldman edges Brad Lander, 54% to 46%. Dan Goldman is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Dan Goldman (incumbent) — 54%
- Brad Lander — 46%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.