New York 9th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The New York 9th — House dem primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model makes Yvette Clarke the heavy favorite at 90%, with Michael Goldfarb at 7% in a 3-candidate field. Yvette Clarke is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Yvette Clarke (incumbent) — 90%
- Michael Goldfarb — 7%
- Joshua Bristol — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.