New York 7th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The New York 7th — House dem primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model sees a close race: Claire Valdez edges Antonio Reynoso, 40% to 34% in a 4-candidate field. Claire Valdez leads the field in reported fundraising and Antonio Reynoso has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Claire Valdez — 40%
- Antonio Reynoso — 34%
- Julie Won — 24%
- Vichal Kumar — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.