New York 5th — House 2026 General Election
The New York 5th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Gregory Meeks the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Aaron Cherry at 0%. Gregory Meeks is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Gregory Meeks (incumbent) — 100%
- Aaron Cherry — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.