New York 4th — House 2026 Rep Primary

The New York 4th — House rep primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model sees a close race: Jeanine Driscoll edges Marvin Williams, 50% to 50%. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Jeanine Driscoll — 50%
  2. Marvin Williams — 50%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model